The next war, the United States will play who?
Author: Zhang Zhaozhong
When the next war started, unpredictable. The next war in the targets? Let’s hear the well-known military expert Zhang Zhaozhong prediction: the next war will hit the United States who
Zhang Zhaozhong, National Defense University, Professor, China Central Television Commentator, Rear Admiral, Military Equipment academic leaders, military strategy, Doctor tutor.
Yesterday: war in which the relative, pointing its sword towards Iran
2009 is the 30th anniversary of the Islamic Revolution in Iran. 30 years ago, the Iranian people to overthrow pro-American Shah to the Islamic Republic was established, set up a theocracy in the new country. In that revolution, radical Iranian students stormed the U.S. Embassy in Iraq, detaining dozens of American hostages for 444 days. In order to rescue the U.S. hostages, launched a joint land, sea rescue, “Desert hammer” action, the result ended in failure. Since the incident, the U.S. relationship with Iran, the honeymoon ended, turn into hostile countries.
In order to bring down Iran’s new regime, the CIA train a new leader of the Saddam Hussein
Hussein, who in 1979 helped to seize power and become president of Iraq. Saddam became president after the implementation of the anti-Iran line in America’s behest, in 1980 launched a war against Iran. Iran-Iraq war is a fight for eight years, the United States hoping to wipe out Iran, Iraq, hands the new regime, but it did not, no one became the winner of that war. War of attrition for eight years to make a rich and beautiful in Iraq be reduced to one full of holes, poor and backward country.
Saddam to restore its decision to take the risk, the annexation of neighboring Kuwait. Before sending troops, Saddam sought the views of the United States, the United States ambassador to Iraq made it clear that this is Iraq’s internal affairs. No objection is tacit it! Thus, August 2, 1990, the Iraqi invasion and occupation of Kuwait quickly. Never imagined that Saddam would trap the middle United States, U.S. President George Bush immediately issued an order to send aircraft carrier battle group to the Persian Gulf, “Desert Shield” operation was immediately launched, the next is Jan. 17, 1991 to February 28 calendar 42 days of “Desert Storm” and “Desert Sabre” operation. In the late war, “Desert Sabre” operation, the U.S. Army advance party arrived near Baghdad, Saddam immediately became Wengzhongzhibie, at this crucial moment, Bush ordered an emergency, let the central headquarters of General Schwarzkopf, commander of hands to keep people , stop attacking, all forces withdraw to the territory of Saudi Arabia, the war ended. Life on the line of Saddam himself did not expect, knife rack to the neck has a gall survived.
March 20, 2003, the elder Bush’s son President George W. Bush called back, once again launched the Iraq war. This time appears to be the real thing, not only to the war Saddam’s his life, not even have to completely overthrow the Iraqi regime. Puzzled historians and military experts, have known, why did it? If the elimination of the 1991 Gulf War, Saddam Hussein, the regime in Iraq, Iran would immediately grow in and become a tyrant in the Middle East, U.S. interests in the Middle East, the Middle East pro-American national interests, as well as Israel’s interests will be challenge. Weighed, the United States feel a small leak will sink a great ship, decided to close the strategy, because the fist back to the future more effectively in order to play out.
October 2001, the United States launched the name of counter-terrorism war in Afghanistan, the strategic goal three birds with one stone: to destroy the Taliban regime against Al Qaeda, which is openly incentive war; in China, getting a knife to make thorn in the side shake it to the military struggle against Taiwan independence, the strategic direction of the core main attack, so hard to begin and end; troops in Central Asia, the direction of a threat to Russia in Central Asia to Russia from CIS countries, spun off, so no chance of isolation situation.
March 2003, the Iraq war began. U.S. strategic objectives are: politically, completely destroyed the Iraqi regime to eliminate Saddam, establish a new pro-American regime in order to maintain long-term stability US-Iran relations; in the military, to Iraq as a strategic base for stability in the Middle East, and Echoing Israel’s military power, control the Middle East, to contain Iran, conditions are ripe, and the battlefields of Afghanistan connected to form a unified Middle East war; in the economy, control of Iraqi oil resources and control of the Persian Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz in the energy channel According to the U.S. strategic needs control world oil prices.
2006, the strategic vision for the Middle East, the United States many times and tried to launch a brewing war against Iran. As Iran has always behaved like a hedgehog, the United States have no place to eat. Fighting compounds called the United States every day, there has never been static. Second half of 2008, Bush will end his term of office, to put aside the things that war against Iraq down, Iran war, this died down.
Today: diplomatic truce, to and for your
2009 New Year begins, the U.S. new new atmosphere, President Obama takes office, determined to learn from bitter experience, rebuild the U.S. image, advocating a diplomatic truce, to and for your new ideas, new U.S. government began to implement “and for your “The New Deal, for building a harmonious world, and make unremitting efforts.
In such a high-sounding banner of US-China relations is defined as “solidarity” of the strategic partnership, both sides seek common ground, common development; the end of confrontation and struggle between the U.S. and Russia, the U.S. says the missile deployment in Eastern Europe to stop the plan, to a large number of reduction of nuclear weapons and long-range weapons, as efforts to establish a nuclear-free world. In addition, the United States and the Americas began to repair the relationship between Obama and the United States the enemy of Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez became good friends and friendship and the Imagination of the future; Obama delivered a televised speech in Iran, expressed the hope that the differences between the two end advocated US-Iraqi diplomatic negotiations the two sides; North Korea launched to outer space, flying objects, the United States immediately expressed his support for the joint Japan, South Korea to intercept, intercept when Comrade Kim Jong Il would mean war, Americans are strange stride back, and the United States is seeking contacts with North Korea the opportunity to see whether your enemy, turn swords into plowshares. In addition, Obama decided to August 31, 2010 ended the war in Iraq, to withdraw all U.S. troops from Iraq, saying it was no longer stay in that place a single soldier. In order to implement the president’s new way of thinking, Defense Secretary Robert Gates has made military reform, abolition, consolidation, and reduce the Navy’s DDG-1000 destroyers, four generations of Air Force F-22 fighter, the Army Future Combat System and a series of advanced, costly military research and procurement.
Obama’s first 100 days at a time when public opinion polls support is given a score of 63%, fully embodies the American people as the new president’s firm support and advocacy. However, Obama has so far shown to the people also does not look like a dignified president, but more like a romantic poet and politician, he’s so much promise to honor it? He’s so much better ideal to achieve it?
Tomorrow: The carrot and stick, pressure simultaneously
Overall, Obama is just a political smoke screen and Ma Xinzheng sugar-coated bullets, attractive appearance and charming words there lie deeper strategic objectives. Bush, Clinton and Bush are in accordance with the strong U.S. unilateralism, do whatever they want to act the rigid political line, here, they launched the Gulf War, Kosovo War, Afghanistan and Iraq. In the elder Bush and Clinton administrations, the United States, a strong political challenge that is not too much, to President George W. Bush, the United States faced growing challenges and pressure: the world from a unipolar to a multipolar, Yu made the U.S. think of Chrysostom, conceit, one person not so easy; force for peace than war, the growth of power, the United States as easily as before and then used to resolve the crisis of war and conflict is no longer; play the fire burned all day tinkering with the financial bonds and loan-sharking living the United States, never imagined but ultimately their loans and bonds plummeted on the secondary, so that the United States into a once in a century financial crisis. Under the impact of the financial tsunami, the United States wants to maintain the dominance of Jinyuan Di States has become increasingly difficult. In the downturn, desperate, perilous situation, Obama introduced a “clever diplomacy” strategy, comprehensive use of soft power and hard power.
Today’s world military spending one trillion U.S. dollars, the United States submitted to Congress for consideration in fiscal year 2010 military budget, the annual military budget of 530 billion U.S. dollars, funding the war 140 billion U.S. dollars, adding up to 670 billion U.S. dollars, equivalent to 13 behind total military expenditure of large, accounting for 67% of the total global military spending, the other nearly 200 countries, military spending accounted for the remaining 33% only. If the United States Department of Defense really wants to implement Obama Maxin Zheng, can cut more than half of the first self-defense do? United States nuclear weapons, aircraft carriers, nuclear submarines and four generations of fighter and combat effectiveness of possession of more than 60% of the world if the U.S. military to carry Oba Ma Xinzheng, can cut more than half of the first to own it? 1991, before the end of the Cold War, the United States in Persian Gulf have not a single soldier and a military base, said Iran if the U.S. really good, can take the lead in the dissolution of the Fifth Fleet, removal of military bases in the Gulf, full and complete withdrawal from Iraq what? The ultimate answer to all these, will not, no, no! Absolutely not! Even Obama wants the U.S. government will not tolerate this. This is not personal to Obama’s will, but the U.S. political system and social system determined. Democrats wanted to do things the Republican Party may not agree with Obama’s dream of building a harmonious world may not be military industrial complex, oil tycoons and financial support of the consortium, not the strength of the support group, the President can do it?
For the United States presidents, no president has not waged war, they did so by no means the individual is the President of the militants, but driven by the various interest groups. Obama is committed to engaging in a harmonious world, not war, that the military industrial complex Hexibeifeng go ah? They produced so many weapons and ammunition how to do? You do not fight, do not consume how to pull military production and labor employment? If the United States withdraw its troops from the Gulf region, full and complete withdrawal from Iraq, then Iran will grow in, they will control the Gulf oil resources and transport routes, how to guarantee the economic interests of the United States, U.S. oil tycoon to make a living? If the U.S. military industrial groups and oil group feels the pain, and that the financier is not to rest on its laurels it? U.S. stock market, bond market will drop drastically, the U.S. State Building, Jinyuan Di will immediately collapse and fall, the U.S. will quickly become the world’s second-rate country! By that time, even if Obama is willing, the United States, interest groups may not agree, by the serious injury of the American people may not be satisfied, this is a true American.
Obama took office, to actively promote 780 billion U.S. dollars bailout plan, but dished out a famous Chilean Courand company reports that this is a silly, totally useless, if we really want to save the U.S. economy, there is only one Road, that is to use the 780 billion U.S. dollars to launch a war against Iran. Rand’s views represent the interests of the United States, winding path, around the U.S. president, no matter how crooked, the result certainly is the way to the sound of guns, tons of gold in the brutal battle.
When the next war started, I can not anticipate, but there is one thing I can expect that Obama could never be a peace without any war president. The next war in the targets? Bear the brunt of Afghanistan, this is already well-known fact. The next is likely to be Iran, because Iran has many of the elements: Although Iraq may have to conduct diplomatic negotiations, but if Iran to abandon uranium enrichment and nuclear program, it is absolutely not,! Iran, the United States can continue to show good, but endured 30 years of sanctions and pressure on the Americans in Iran “carrots” policy may not have any good impression, it also unfortunately the U.S. “big stick” of fear. Iran’s failure to eliminate Saddam eight-year war in the United States with the help of not only Saddam Hussein went west, the Iraqi regime change has taken place, if the United States to complete withdrawal from Iraq, then there will be a power vacuum in the Middle East, Iran will take advantage of expanding into the Middle East’s most powerful military force. For such a Middle East hegemon, the United States will feel? Israel would like to see that day? Even the United States does not face war, Israel will charge forward, led the way to destroy Iran’s nuclear facilities and military forces, the United States and Israel will not tolerate a stronger Iran in sensitive areas like the Middle East against,! Of course, if Iran, like Libya can be pacified by the United States, perhaps the future history will be rewritten. However, the descendants of the ancient Persian Empire, they would like groveling to beg for peace? All this will be our strategic observation points.