April 14, “Financial stone” broadcast, “Andy Xie: Most people believe that property prices will rise not fall.” Xie said that China’s urbanization has done almost, currently only in rural areas where the elderly and children, even if it has to move to the cities to rural areas, years, need places to live, he shall not buy from the house, so take the city to explain the rise of house prices will not fall is the self-deception. Following is the text Record:
Zeng Jingyi: Bureau of Statistics that we see today did not release in March real estate prices in 70 major cities in the chain of data, in fact, is published in the last month. We take a look, see how the chain private data.
A number of luxury residential sales in Beijing in March, said the chain has doubled, which is Beijing’s Asian high statistical agencies show that in March priced like a luxury 35 000 per square meter, or six million is a significant temperature rise luxury sales . The Mainland’s real estate sources said the past five to six month is Villa season, this year is significantly ahead of schedule. April opened the villa project intends to offer, or nearly 60% year on year, the chain up more than 10%.
Insiders said that the property market more and more like the stock market, experts are not forecast the future prices will go up or down in the end. They said that in 2007 everyone was optimistic about the property market, but by 2008 the property market has fallen. In 2009 when everybody look bad when the property market, property prices have continued to rise. Because of the property market is difficult to speculate, so many people worry that the future gains, and then come later to buy himself a disadvantage. Could it be that people are not afraid of falling real house, then fell to the rather, really lose it?
I remember a few years ago, when we are discussing, in fact, are worried about China’s stock market, but like all of the stock market is not so crazy, but rather on the real estate is crazy. How such a change occur?
Xie: Yes, last time was crazy on the stock market, after the stock market fell, we think the stock market will fall, and I heard a lot of words in private, they think the stock market dropped from more than 6000 points, more than 1,000 points, he was afraid. But in the real estate have not seen such a situation.
The last big real estate is 90 years out, that if 90 out of real estate, mainly in Hainan and Shanghai, Guangdong. House mainly export house, with basically nothing to do with people in general, so most people do not think the real estate cycle, we have this wave of upward cycle began walking from the 2002,2003, and sometimes look a little as if to cut up later, This is a cycle, has been facing up to go. So most people believe that real estate will rise, not fall. And no demographic dividend, and now all children with the elderly in rural areas, Urbanization in China are doing almost the same. Even if there are people who move to rural areas to cities, need places to live, he can afford a house? Them with the real estate market simply does not matter. So you say what the urbanization of population, holding the property, that amounts to cheating their own, or you do not believe, but you are cheating other people.
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Shanghai World Expo opening ceremony fireworks show, the evening of April 27, Pudong and Puxi Expo Park among the Lupu Bridge and Nanpu Bridge and the waters of the Huangpu River between the two sides part of the roof at the rehearsal, momentum, brilliant.
Shanghai World Expo opening ceremony fireworks rehearsal.
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Yesterday’s fireworks show in the discharge of fireworks only arranged the opening day of the 1 / 4. By design, the fireworks show to the Huangpu River as the background, consistent Nanpu Bridge from the river to the Lupu Bridge and the surrounding environment together.
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Lived in China Construction Ministry official: developers themselves, “earned embarrassing”
Yesterday, at the Housing Fair “Wuhan Green Real Estate Forum”, Ministry of Housing and Urban Policy Research Center, Jue Wang Lin, deputy director of the national housing policy for the current report, said that the domestic property market in 2009, the phenomenon is too hot, is investment in the property market, consumer to stimulate policy and excess liquidity caused by factors such as, “A lot of developers themselves say, ‘money earned embarrassing’, the result is too high house prices rise a new round of state regulation.”
Wang Jue Lin seems, from the perspective of a market economy, prices can not rise, but if the increase exceeds the capacity of our mental and can not be accepted. Moreover, the domestic prices in some cities more than doubled several times, this is not real market behavior, such as Tongzhou, Beijing, overnight, up 6,000 yuan per square meter, of course, people quit.
He also made special mention of the financial crisis in the United States, Dubai, Japan, a decade of crisis and economic downturn, with a direct relationship between the real estate bubble in China although there will be no problem, but there do exist some city property market bubble, have protection, “the real estate market has become real estate speculators in the market, high prices and even consumer demand suppressed, restricted to the core of the mainstream of industrial development of the industry.”
The latest national regulatory policy is mainly to improve the two suites down payment and interest rates. Wang Jue Lin believes that the the point very clear, and clear the house prices around the containment ineffective to recover duties, and policies do not match, not taking the initiative to bear the same responsibility. Little effect if the current round of regulation, the state certainly will continue to introduce more stringent control measures to curb high prices.
For this year’s trends, Wang Jue Lin predicted the property market in 2010 will be the adjustment in the development of indicators to judge the market is good and bad turnover, rather than to see whether prices rise.
When asked to judge the property market in Wuhan, Wang Jue Cheng Lin Tan, Wuhan not know much about ourselves, but to know city prices have general super-million, compared to the income of Wuhan, the “still a little high.”